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The news and analysis archive

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The news and analysis archive
21
Feb

U.S. Flash Manufacturing PMI, Flash Services PMI, U.S. ...

The US dollar lost value against major currencies on Thursday, with the USDX declining by 0.77%. Pressure on the dollar could derive from recent hawkish remarks form Federal Reserv...

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Fed is concerned about hard landing on Trump policy tantrum

Fed is concerned about hard landing on Trump policy tan...

·       DJ-30 slips on subdued guidance by Walmart, the bellwether of the US economy (consumer spending) ·       Apart from the Trump tariffs tantrum, the market is now also concer...

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20
Feb

U.S. Jobless Claims, Philly Fed Manufacturing, Walmart ...

The US dollar posted moderate gains against most major currencies on Wednesday, with the US dollar index (USDX) up by 0.13% as dollar traders are weighing U.S.-Russia negotiations ...

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Wall Street, Gold waved on Trump-Zelenskyy war of words

Wall Street, Gold waved on Trump-Zelenskyy war of words

·       Gold recovered from Trump’s bellicose comments about Zelenskyy as Trump may order a physical DOGE audit to verify US Gold reserve at Fort Knox ·       Trump also threatened...

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19
Feb

U.S. Building Permits, FOMC Meeting Minutes

The US dollar posted moderate gains against most major currencies on Tuesday, with the US dollar index (USDX) up by 0.3% as dollar traders assess key negotiations between U.S. and ...

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Dow slips on fading hopes of an early Ukraine war ceasefire

Dow slips on fading hopes of an early Ukraine war cease...

·       Gold surged after Ukraine’s Zelenskyy refused to join US-Russia meeting in Saudi Arabia; Intel surged on a potential stake sale to Broadcom and TSMC ·       Trump threatene...

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18
Feb

German ZEW Economic Sentiment

The US dollar held steady against most major currencies with the US dollar index (USDX) down by 0.03% as rising inflation and dampening expectations for aggressive rate cuts are ov...

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17
Feb

In the week ahead: Trump Speaks, FOMC Meeting Minutes, ...

The US dollar weakened against most major currencies on Friday following strong inflation data and a postponement of reciprocal tariffs on key US trading partners.  The US dollar i...

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Will Trump monetize part of US Gold reserve to cut bond yield?

Will Trump monetize part of US Gold reserve to cut bond...

·       Trump 2.0 is no longer pressuring Fed/Powell to cut rates but may be planning to issue less US bonds by selling Gold to support deficit spending ·       Trump is still indi...

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US core disinflation stalled; Fed not in a hurry to cut rates

US core disinflation stalled; Fed not in a hurry to cut...

·       Gold stumbled; the Trump admin may be planning to monetize/pledge/sell part of the Gold reserve held by the US to reduce TSY bond supply & yields ·       Wall Street closed...

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14
Feb

U.S. Core Retail Sales, U.S. Import Prices, U.S. Indust...

The dollar declined against most major currencies on Thursday, with the USDX ending the session 0.86% lower despite strong inflation figures released for January, as President Dona...

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Dow, Gold recovered from hotter inflation low on tariff delay

Dow, Gold recovered from hotter inflation low on tariff...

·       But Tariff/GST king India’s Nifty slid on Trump’s reciprocal tariffs threat targeting even GST/ED, which may affect both public & PVT sector revenue ·       Germany’s expor...

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13
Feb

U.K. GDP, U.S. Core PPI, U.S. Jobless Claims

The US dollar traded between gains and losses against most major currencies on Wednesday, with the dollar index (USDX) ending the session almost unchanged, following the CPI releas...

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12
Feb

U.S. Core CPI, Fed Chair Powell Testifies, U.S. 10-y Bo...

The US dollar weakened against most major currencies on Tuesday, with the dollar index (USDX) ending the session almost 0.38% lower as the US is preparing to impose retaliatory tar...

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Gold soared to LTH after Trump’s metal tariffs; what’s next?

Gold soared to LTH after Trump’s metal tariffs; what’s ...

·       At around $2942 new life time high, Gold may have surged too much above its true potential; average fair value may be now around $2600 ·       Wall Street closed almost fla...

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11
Feb

Fed Chairman Powell Testifies, BOE Gov Bailey Speaks

The US dollar showed little movement against most major currencies on Monday, with the dollar index (USDX) ending the session almost unchanged with markets still on edge over prosp...

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Fed’s Powell indicated no hurry to cut rates before June’25

Fed’s Powell indicated no hurry to cut rates before Jun...

·       Wall Street, Gold stumbled on hotter than expected core inflation and less dovish Powell Testimony but recovered later on hopes of tariffs waiver On Tuesday, some focus of...

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Nifty slid on Trump’s reciprocal and metal tariff threats

Nifty slid on Trump’s reciprocal and metal tariff threa...

·       Almost 60% of Nifty earnings come from exports; thus any potential Trump trade war 2.0 may be negative for export-heavy Nifty ·       Growing USDINR is also not good for th...

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10
Feb

In the week ahead: Fed Chair Powell Testifies, U.S. Cor...

The US dollar posted a moderate decline against most major currencies last week, with the dollar index (USDX) losing 0.27% of its value after January’s nonfarm payrolls report that...

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Wall Street, UST stumbled as Trump plans reciprocal tariffs

Wall Street, UST stumbled as Trump plans reciprocal tar...

·       Gold also slid as USD, US bond yield surged on Trump’s reciprocal tariffs plan; ‘Tariff King’ India may be a prime target ahead of Modi’s WH visit ·       But Trump may be ...

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