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The news and analysis archive

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The news and analysis archive
14
Nov

U.S. Core PPI, Jobless Claims, Fed Chair Powell Speaks

The dollar extended its gains against most major currencies on Wednesday, with the dollar index (USDX) up by another 0.51%. On the weekly chart USDX is up by 1.6% as of Thursday 07...

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13
Nov

U.S. Core CPI, Federal Budget Balance, FOMC Members Spe...

The dollar continues to move higher against most major currencies on Tuesday, with the dollar index (USDX) up by another 0.42% hitting levels last seen in May and trading right abo...

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US core disinflation may stall in H2; Will Fed cut in Dec’24?

US core disinflation may stall in H2; Will Fed cut in D...

·         Wall Street and Gold slip as Fed Chair Powell almost poured cold water on December rate cut ·         October CPI and PPI data show last mile of core disinflation may hav...

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Wall Street stumbled on Trump’s legal immunity challenges

Wall Street stumbled on Trump’s legal immunity challeng...

·         Also, less dovish Fed talks dragged the US stock market, which is now trading above the 30 PE bubble valuation zone against fair PE 22-20 ·         Fed is now indicating ...

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12
Nov

ZEW Economic Sentiment, Canada Building Permits, FOMC M...

The dollar continues to move higher against most major currencies on Monday, with the dollar index (USDX) up by 0.47% and still gaining early on Tuesday. The election outcome and e...

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Nifty slid on the concern of Trump tantrum and over-valuation

Nifty slid on the concern of Trump tantrum and over-val...

·         At TTM Q2FY25 EPS around 877 (vs Q1 EPS 873) and 24000 levels, the current Nifty TTM PE is around 27, still in the overvaluation zone ·         Now US election is over, a...

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The Golden Cross Pattern: A Vital Tool in Your Trading Kit

The Golden Cross Pattern: A Vital Tool in Your Trading ...

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11
Nov

In the week ahead: U.S. Core CPI & PPI, Core Retail Sal...

The dollar gained against most major currencies in the past week, with the dollar index (USDX) up by 0.59%, hitting levels last seen in June following the outcome of the U.S. presi...

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8
Nov

UoM Consumer Sentiment & Inflation Expectations, Canada...

The dollar fell against most major currencies on Thursday, with the dollar index (USDX) down by 0.79%, after hitting four-month highs following the outcome of the U.S. presidential...

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Gold, Wall Street wobbled on less dovish Fed cut, and Iran

Gold, Wall Street wobbled on less dovish Fed cut, and I...

·         Iran may launch another revenge attack on Israel by the next few days, while Qatar may be distancing itself from Hamas as Trump set to take charge of WH ·         Fed/Pow...

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7
Nov

BOE Monetary Policy Report, U.S. Interest Rate Statemen...

The dollar surged against most major currencies on Wednesday, with the dollar index (USDX) posting gains of 1.68% and hitting four-month highs after Republican Donald Trump won the...

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6
Nov

U.S. Presidential Election, ECB President Speaks, Crude...

The dollar is seen surging against most majors early on Wednesday, with the dollar index (USDX) up by almost 1.80% as Trump appears to be taking a clear lead in the U.S. presidenti...

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US stocks soared on Trump tax cut 2.0 hope, while Gold slid

US stocks soared on Trump tax cut 2.0 hope, while Gold ...

·         Gold and oil slid as Trump 2.0 may quicken Gaza and Ukraine war ceasefire; stocks jumped on Trump’s tax cut & banking deregulation besides the anti-war stance ·         A...

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5
Nov

U.S. Presidential Election, Congressional Elections, IS...

Little change was seen on Monday in the price of the dollar against other major currencies, with the dollar index down by a mere 0.06%, ahead of the U.S. presidential election, whe...

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Wall Street slips on a high probable Trump Trifecta 2.0

Wall Street slips on a high probable Trump Trifecta 2.0

·         Overall, despite tax cut appeal, Trump may be negative for US MNC blue chips for trade war tantrum and policy uncertainty; Gold may also slip ·         Assuming 175K like...

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4
Nov

In the week ahead: U.S. Presidential Election, Fed Inte...

Moderate gains were observed in the dollar against most major currencies on Friday, with the dollar index up by 0.4%, hovering right below its three-month high. The Non-Farm Payrol...

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Wall Street stumbled from soft NFP high on Trump 2.0 concern

Wall Street stumbled from soft NFP high on Trump 2.0 co...

·         Wall Street is now concerned about Trump tantrum 2.0 policy uncertainty, and the renewed Israel-Iran ‘war of words’; Gold got some boost ·         Although, the Oct’24 US...

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1
Nov

Non-Farm Payrolls, Unemployment Rate, ISM Manufacturing...

The dollar declined further against most major currencies on Thursday, with the dollar index down for a fourth consecutive session ahead of key employment data on Friday that could...

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Wall Street recovered on Intel, Amazon, and Fed pivot boost

Wall Street recovered on Intel, Amazon, and Fed pivot b...

·         After the ‘soft’ NFP job report for Oct, the market is now pricing almost 100% of the Fed rate cut in Nov despite core disinflation almost stalled in Q3CY24 ·         Bro...

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31
Oct

Eurozone CPI, U.S. Core PCE Price Index, U.S Jobless Cl...

The dollar declined further against most major currencies on Wednesday, with the dollar index down for a third consecutive session ahead of key inflation and employment releases th...

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